Assessing risk in a team context

This is my weekly article for ESPN Insider.

One week into the season, there are already more than two dozen players from the ADP Top 300 who are either on the disabled list or demoted to the minors. Roster churn waits for nobody.

But it reminds us that team evaluation is not just an analysis of each club's assets. Analysts might have conveniently separated the 30 teams into three groups – contenders, wannabes and "no possible ways" – but many of those assessments look at only half the picture.

Let's look at the other half.

Shaping each team . . .

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