Archive for June,2017

Pitcher attrition and bullpen fallout

Here is my ESPN piece for this week.

As of today, 41 percent of the pre-season Top 300 have been disabled, demoted or designated for assignment. That's only about 10 players away from the 44 percent attrition accumulated over a full season in 2010. We are on pace for about...

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The dwindling 200-IP pitcher

This week's BABS-enhanced ESPN piece.

Here is the stat for today:

In 2016, there were 61 pitchers from among the ADP Top 300 who spent some time on the disabled list. Just 11 weeks into this season, there are already 52 pitchers from the Top 300 who've spent some time...

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The Hot Dog Scale

This article is about an important topic in “real” baseball. As many of you know, with baseball being both my hobby and my job, I manage to maintain my fandom by compartmentalizing fantasy analysis and the real game, and working hard to...

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Is a .400 BABIP sustainable?

My ESPN column for the week.

Batting average on balls in play (BABIP) is one of those leading indicator metrics that can identify potential outlying performances. It is not a perfect gauge, but extremes are rarely sustainable. Pitchers' BABIPs tend to regress to something near .300. Batters' BABIPs tend to...

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New views on in-season BABS

We are 10 weeks in and the BABS database was updated over the weekend. Your survey results have gotten me to rethink how we use BABS during the season, so I've started to reimagine different presentations of the data.

First, some clarifications from recent reader emails. The "2017p" line in...

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First round churn after 9 weeks

This is my ESPN Insider column for the week.

There is a harsh reality we must buy into: about two-thirds of the players we draft in the first round will not earn back their draft spot. In a 15-team league, that means 10 owners will take a loss on...

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READER SURVEY: Responses to your comments

Your survey comments are insightful and help shape the content on this site. Rather than have those comments just sit in a file on my computer, I thought it might benefit everyone to take a peek behind the curtain. In this way, you can see how others view BABS and...

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Not-so-bold June projections

This is my ESPN Insider column for the week.

A month ago, I wrote a column called, "No-so-bold May projections." The focus was on players whose underlying metrics pointed to a change in fortunes and a rough time frame for when those fortunes might change.

I received a bunch...

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